How will the biggest free agent signing of the offseason, Shohei Ohtani, 29, fare in his first season after signing one of the biggest contracts of all time? It won’t be the only one.
FanGraphs.com recently used its projection system, Steamer Projection, to project each player’s 2024 season.
According to the projections, Ohtani will hit .273 with 37 home runs, 101 RBIs, 106 runs scored, a .378 OPS and a .917 slugging percentage in 150 games.굿모닝토토 주소
They also projected a wRC+ and FWAR of 143 and 4.0, respectively. This would rank him 9th in wRC+ but 31st in FWAR.
This discrepancy between wRC+ and FWAR is due to the fact that Ohtani is a designated hitter. He doesn’t receive any defensive position weighting.
Ohtani also ranks between sixth and eighth in classic stats. The expectation is that he won’t be able to repeat his monster batting performance this season.
This suggests that Ohtani is still dealing with the aftermath of his elbow injury. The expectation was that he would play 150 games without a major injury and that he would hit differently than he did last year.
In 135 games as a hitter this season, Ohtani batted .304 with 44 home runs, 95 RBI, 102 runs scored, 151 runs batted in, a .412 OPS and a 1.066 slugging percentage.
Of course, these are just projections. And FanGraphs.com’s projections tend to be a little more modest than actual performance. There’s no telling if Ohtani will have any lingering effects from his elbow injury.
The top hitter was projected to be Ronald Acuña Jr, the reigning National League Most Valuable Player (MVP). He finished third with a wRC+ of 162 and first with a FWAR of 7.4.
Meanwhile, the best pitcher was Spencer Strider, with his incredible strikeout ability, and the best pitcher in free agency was Aaron Nola.